The Prediction Market
Built for Golf

Peer-to-peer event contracts for the world's most engaged sports audience

Raising $1.5M · SAFE · $10M Post-Money
The Product

Prediction Markets
Built for Golf

Trade YES/NO event contracts against other golf fans — inside private social groups, powered by real-time DataGolf data, settled instantly on Solana.

YES — $271K$847K poolNO — $576K
32%
68%
Shares Traded
YES or NO
Pool Fills
P2P, no house
Event Resolves
Winners split pool
The Masters 2026
Scottie Scheffler wins?
LIVE
YES
$0.32
32% implied
NO
$0.68
68% implied
Vol: $847KTraders: 2,341Closes: Apr 13
🏆 Your Group — Masters Pool
#1
Tyler M.
YES Scheffler
+$412
#2
Sara K.
NO Rory
+$289
#3
James R.
YES Morikawa
+$174
#4
Priya S.
YES Top-5
+$91
How It Works

A Real Orderbook.
Not a Cash-Out Button.

Users buy and sell YES/NO contracts on a live P2P orderbook. Prices are set by market action — not by a house algorithm designed to extract value from the bettor.

Scheffler YES — Live OrderbookPrice · Size (shares)
SELL$0.36
420
SELL$0.35
810
SELL$0.34
1,200
spread $0.01
BUY$0.33
950
BUY$0.32
640
BUY$0.31
380
Sportsbook Cash-Out
Price calculated internally. Algorithm always favors the house. Take it or leave it.
Social Parlay Orderbook
Price set by other traders. P2P market — you can post a limit order or hit the best available.
Revenue — Two Fee Streams
⚡
Taker Fee
Orderbook trades
A variable low % charged to the taker on every matched order. Collected in real time on each trade.
Variable
% per taker trade
Real-time
collected on match
🏦
Settlement Fee
Pool resolution
A variable flat % deducted from the winning settlement pool when the event resolves on-chain.
Variable
flat % of pool
On-chain
at event resolution
Near-zero marginal cost
Every new market costs nothing to create. Revenue scales with volume, not headcount.
Product Readiness

Built and Ready to Ship

What's Built

✓Arcline Engine — LMSR market making, 150 outcomes/market
✓Custodial wallets on Solana (devnet beta, mainnet in Q2)
✓Slash Golf + DataGolf API integrations
✓Group creation, invitations, in-group trading
✓Real-time leaderboards and position tracking
✓Tier-1 Solana RPC via Triton One

Timeline

Q1 2026
Devnet beta launch, Masters 2026 (Apr 9)
Q2 2026
Mainnet deployment, open beta, second tournament cycle
Q3 2026
League partnerships, influencer program
Q4 2026
Premium features, expanded markets, playoffs
The Vertical

Why Golf?

The Audience

$115K+Avg HH income of golf viewers
$768KAvg net worth of regular golfers
2.4×Higher propensity for prediction markets
45M+Active golf fans in North America

The Format

●45+ PGA Tour events annually — year-round content
●4 Majors + 8 Signature Events drive massive spikes
●Dozens of market types: winner, top 5, cut line, H2H, props
●4-day format enables rolling in-play markets
●Friendly formats (Nassau, Skins) unlock local P2P
Market Opportunity

Prediction Markets Are Exploding

Regulatory clarity, mobile-first platforms, and social trading are creating a massive new asset class.

$163B
Global Sports Prediction
Total addressable market
$45B
Prediction Market Volume
2025 trading volume
302%
YoY Growth
Prediction market volume
20%+
Golf Handle Growth
Fastest-growing vertical

Sources: CFTC filings, industry reports. Kalshi and Polymarket proved retail demand — golf remains unaddressed.

Regulatory Tailwind

The Window Is Opening Now

The CFTC is actively clearing the path for prediction markets in the U.S. with new guidance and jurisdictional clarity.

“We expect to announce guidance in the very near future with very clear standards.”
Mike SeligCFTC Chairman · March 2026
“We’re working towards getting professional futures, true professional futures here in the U.S. within the next month or so.”
Mike SeligCFTC Chairman · March 2026

What This Means

●CFTC actively asserting federal jurisdiction over event-contract platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi
●Chairman Selig intervening in court against state gambling regulators challenging prediction markets
●Previous administration “drove firms and liquidity offshore” — new leadership is reversing course
●Parallel regulatory regimes: “They can exist in parallel” — coexistence framework emerging

Source: CoinDesk, March 3, 2026 — “CFTC Chief Selig to Clear Path for U.S. Perpetual Futures in Coming Weeks”

Competitive Position

Depth Wins the Vertical

Competitors offer only 1–15 market types per tournament — mostly winner and finish-position contracts. No platform goes deep inside a round. Social Parlay creates 30+ market types per event: round leaders, top-5, H2H matchups, cut lines, player props — across 45+ events a year.

PolymarketKalshiDraftKingsSocial Parlay
Market types per tournament1–2∼14–15∼12–1530+
Events covered / yearSelect PGA + MajorsSelect PGA + MajorsMost PGA45+ PGA events
P2P trading✓✓✗✓
Social groups✗✗✗✓
Player analytics✗✗Content-onlyDataGolf (interactive)
Golf UX✗✗Sportsbook UXPurpose-built
Strategic Partnerships

The Prediction Layer for Golf's Ecosystem

Tournament Management
Scoring & GPS Apps
Technology & Tracking
Social Parlay
Prediction Layer
Golf Genius
Par Four
GolfStatus
BlueGolf
foreUP
Event Caddy
18Birdies
TheGrint
Hole19
Golf Pad
Arccos
TopTracer
These platforms manage scoring, pairings, and handicaps for millions of rounds. Social Parlay embeds as the prediction layer — players trade on their own tournaments in real time.
The Team

Built by Marketplace Veterans

C
Colin
Co-Founder & CEO
Strategy, fundraising, product vision.
J
Jason Lee
Co-Founder & CTO
Sr. Engineer at Triton.one Principal Engineer at One Medical Co-Founder at Fenix Global
K
Kris Dahl
CFO
Former TD Bank exec. Financial ops & compliance.
C
Chris Gillard
Sales & Marketing
Golf industry relationships & go-to-market.
J
Jared Clark
Operations
Engineering & Architecture Research & Consultation Amazon DSP

Core team collaborated at Fenix Global and Acuitas Trading Technologies.

User Projections

24-Month DAU / MAU Forecast

Aligned to PGA calendar. Majors drive 3–5x DAU spikes; Signature Events 1.5–2x.

3,500
Peak DAU (Mo. 17)
The Open, Year 2
14K
Peak MAU (Mo. 17)
Full season momentum
45+
Events / Year
Near-weekly engagement
Growth Strategy

Acquisition Funnel

P2P = inherent virality. Users need friends to trade against. Every user is an acquisition channel.

35% of users
Golf Communities
Reddit r/golf (1.2M), Golf Twitter/X, Discord. Organic content + seeded markets.
CAC: $3–5
25% of users
Influencer Partners
Golf creators on YouTube/IG. Co-branded prediction challenges during tournaments.
CAC: $8–12
25% of users
League & Club
Golf leagues, clubs, sim venues. One partnership seeds 20–50 users.
CAC: $2–4
15% of users
Tournament Events
On-site at PGA events, charity tournaments, pro-ams. High-intent.
CAC: $10–15

Blended CAC target: $5–8. Campaigns timed to majors. Network effects reduce CAC over time.

Exit Strategy

10x Revenue → 3–10x Return

Exit valuations scale with revenue at 10x multiples.

Year 3 · $20M revenue
$200M
Sportsbook Acquisition
DraftKings · FanDuel · BetMGM
Golf audience + prediction engine fills their gap. Proven vertical with locked-in users.
3x return
Year 4 · $50M revenue
$500M
Media Acquisition
ESPN · PGA Tour Media · NBC Sports
Engagement layer on golf content. Predictions drive retention and watch-time.
5x return
Year 5 · $100M revenue
$1B
Platform / IPO
Platform-scale · IPO
Full-stack prediction platform with Arcline Engine IP. Multi-sport expansion.
10x return

Bonus: Arcline Engine as licensable infrastructure for other verticals.

The Ask

$1.5M SAFE · $10M Post-Money

Use of Funds

40%
Engineering & Infra — $600K
Devnet beta, mainnet prep, security audits
45%
Go-to-Market — $675K
Masters beta launch, influencers, activations
10%
Ops & Compliance — $150K
CFTC framework, legal, financial ops
5%
Working Capital — $75K
12-month runway buffer

What $1.5M Unlocks

→Devnet beta launch for Masters 2026 (Apr 9) — first live tournament cycle
→10K+ MAU within 6 months
→Revenue from day one — percentage from all final winner settlements, variable % rake from all takers on the orderbook
→12–18 months to prove unit economics
→$200M+ valuation within three years at 10x revenue

The Missing Prediction Layer
in Golf

Let's talk.

socialparlay.com · Vancouver, BC