Disclaimer
All dollar figures are expressed in U.S. dollars (USD) unless otherwise noted. By reviewing this presentation, you acknowledge and agree to the foregoing. © 2026 Social Parlay. All rights reserved.
The Prediction Market
Built for Golf
Peer-to-peer event contracts for the world's most engaged sports audience
Built by Marketplace Veterans
Core team collaborated at Fenix Global and Acuitas Trading Technologies.
Prediction Markets Are Forecast to Hit $1 Trillion by 2030.
Sports already account for 80%+ of prediction market volume. Bernstein projects a 15× expansion in five years.
Sources: AGA State of the States 2025 · Bernstein (Yahoo Finance, Investment News) · Pew Research · SBJ
The Floodgates Have Opened
The CFTC has cleared domestic perpetual futures and prediction markets, triggering a massive capital migration and institutional showdown. Prediction markets have moved from niche to mainstream.
One Golf Tournament Drove $545M in Prediction Market Volume.
The 2026 Masters, on a single platform with no social features and no parlay mechanics, became the most-bet sporting event in Kalshi's history.
Sources: Seeking Alpha · Covers · DeFi Rate · Bonus.com · SBJ
The Gap
Current prediction market products for golf are bare-bones. No platform is purpose-built for the sport.
Kalshi generated $1.3B in annualized sports revenue (roughly 20% of DraftKings) with a bare-bones product. A purpose-built golf platform captures the gap.
Sources: Yahoo Finance · Kalshi.com · Polymarket
Milestones & Roadmap
Building the first purpose-built social prediction market for golf: from concept to scale.
As of July 2026 · Closed beta underway · $1.5M SAFE round open
Prediction Markets
Built for Golf
Trade YES/NO event contracts against other golf fans, inside private social groups, powered by real-time DataGolf data, settled instantly on Solana.
A Real Orderbook.
Not a Cash-Out Button.
Users buy and sell YES/NO contracts on a live P2P orderbook. Prices reflect what other traders are willing to pay, rather than a house algorithm built to extract value from the bettor.
Built and Ready to Ship
Every core system is built and proven. Closed beta is underway; here's what's shipping.
Arcline Engine: Prediction Market Infrastructure
A source-agnostic prediction market platform built on Solana. Arcline handles the entire market lifecycle, creation, pricing, trading, and settlement, with zero knowledge of the domain it serves. Golf today; any verifiable outcome tomorrow.
One Engine, Any Vertical
New verticals need only a source adapter and a data feed. The pricing, settlement, wallet, and audit layers ship unchanged.
Each vertical is a data integration, not a rebuild. Golf took the platform from zero to live; the next sport ships in weeks, not years.
Influencer-Led Acquisition at 1/20th Industry CAC
DraftKings and FanDuel pay $200–$500 per funded user. Our micro-influencer + P2P virality model targets $12–$18 blended CAC.
Sources: Sacra · Sportbot AI · LaunchPoint HQ · Shopify Influencer Pricing 2026 · Business Insider (Polymarket influencer model)
Year 1 GTM Allocation: $600K
Influencer-led model, weighted to micro-creators and retargeting. Designed to acquire ~40K funded users at ~$15 blended CAC.
Sources: Sacra ($200–300 sportsbook CAC) · Sportbot AI ($300–500 industry) · LaunchPoint HQ ($8–28 micro-influencer CPM) · Shopify / impact.com influencer rates
Path to 40K MAU in 15 Months
Compounding growth from public launch, aligned to the PGA calendar; majors and Signature Events accelerate acquisition through the season.
$10M ARR & $500M Volume by 2030
Conservative model on $3–5B golf prediction market TAM. Year 1 (2026) is a partial beta year; beta users are onboarding now.
| 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Share | 0.6% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 10% |
| Total Volume | $30M | $100M | $250M | $400M | $500M |
| Revenue (2% of vol) | $600K | $2M | $5M | $8M | $10M |
| Active Users | 10K | 35K | 75K | 130K | 200K |
| Events Covered | 10 | 25 | 45 | 45+ | 45+ |
Sources: Kalshi Masters data (Seeking Alpha) · PGA Tour event schedule · SBJ growth rates · AGA State of the States 2025
$1.5M SAFE · $10M Post-Money
Use of Funds
What $1.5M Unlocks
The Missing Prediction Layer
in Golf
Let's talk.
socialparlay.com · Vancouver, BC
Appendix
Competitive landscape · Strategic partnerships · P&L detail · Comparables · Exit strategy
Depth Wins the Vertical
Competitors offer only 1–15 market types per tournament, mostly winner and finish-position contracts. No platform goes deep inside a round. Social Parlay creates 30+ market types per event: round leaders, top-5, H2H matchups, cut lines, player props, across 45+ events a year.
| Polymarket | Kalshi | DraftKings | Social Parlay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market types per tournament | 1–2 | ∼14–15 | ∼12–15 | 30+ |
| Events covered / year | Select PGA + Majors | Select PGA + Majors | Most PGA | 45+ PGA events |
| P2P trading | ✓ | ✓ | ✗ | ✓ |
| Social groups | ✗ | ✗ | ✗ | ✓ |
| Player analytics | ✗ | ✗ | Content-only | DataGolf (interactive) |
| Golf UX | ✗ | ✗ | Sportsbook UX | Purpose-built |
The Prediction Layer for Golf's Ecosystem
Golf Genius
Par Four
GolfStatus
BlueGolf
foreUP
Event Caddy
18Birdies
TheGrint
Hole19
Golf Pad
Arccos
TopTracerPath to Profitability: 2027
Loss in 2026 funds beta launch + user acquisition. Pre-tax operating profit from Year 2 onward, scaling to $7.9M by 2030.
| 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Share | 0.6% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 10% |
| Golf Prediction Market Size | $5.0B | $5.5B | $6.0B | $6.5B | $7.0B |
| Our Trading Volume | $30M | $83M | $180M | $325M | $500M |
| Gross Revenue (2% take) | $600K | $1.66M | $3.6M | $6.5M | $10M |
| Development & Engineering | ($500K) | ($500K) | ($500K) | ($500K) | ($500K) |
| Marketing (CAC × users) | ($600K) | ($810K) | ($970K) | ($1.17M) | ($1.4M) |
| Legal & Compliance | ($150K) | ($100K) | ($100K) | ($100K) | ($100K) |
| Infrastructure & Data | ($20K) | ($25K) | ($30K) | ($35K) | ($40K) |
| G&A / Other | ($50K) | ($60K) | ($70K) | ($80K) | ($90K) |
| Unique Active Customers | 10K | 35K | 75K | 130K | 200K |
| Pre-Tax Operating Profit | ($720K) | $165K | $1.93M | $4.62M | $7.87M |
Year 1 = 2026 (partial beta year). Operating company registered in Panama (territorial tax system: 0% on foreign-source income); income flows to Canadian parent. Corporate tax optimization pending legal structuring. Solana settlement costs negligible.
Comparable Companies & Metrics
Prediction markets and golf betting are both growing at 15%+ annually. The intersection is underserved.
| Company | Sector | Metric | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | Prediction Markets | Sports Volume (2025) | $3B+ | Kalshi Q1 Report |
| Kalshi | Prediction Markets | Annualized Revenue | $1.3B | Yahoo Finance |
| Polymarket | Prediction Markets | Daily Volume | $200-300M | Polymarket.com |
| DraftKings | Daily Fantasy/Sports | Sports Revenue (2023) | $2.7B | 10-K |
| FanDuel | Daily Fantasy/Sports | Sports Revenue (2023) | $2.4B | 10-K |
| Eagle Eye | Golf Analytics | Golf Market Growth (2025) | +18% YoY | Eagle Eye Media |
| BetMGM | Daily Fantasy/Sports | Sportsbook Volume (2025) | $37B+ | SBJ |
Key finding: Kalshi's $1.3B in annualized sports revenue with a generic product. A purpose-built golf platform captures the gap between traditional sportsbooks and prediction markets.
Acquisition Targets
Sports betting consolidation is accelerating. DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and Kalshi are all acquiring niche platforms with proven audiences. A golf-specific leader with 200K users and $10M ARR is a premium target.
Sources: Statista 2024 · Yahoo Finance · SBJ · Kalshi Q1 Report