The social prediction market for golf. Social-first since 2020.
All dollar figures are expressed in U.S. dollars (USD) unless otherwise noted. By reviewing this presentation, you acknowledge and agree to the foregoing. © 2026 Social Parlay. All rights reserved.
Golfers don’t need to be taught to bet. Every weekend group already has a skins game, a nassau, somebody pressing on 14. The 19th hole is where it all gets settled — over drinks, with the scorecards out. Nobody has ever built software for that room. That’s what we’ve done.
Observe a Saturday four-ball. Games get priced on the first tee, tracked in someone's head, settled in the parking lot or the group text. It works. None of it happens in an app, because no app has ever replicated the group dynamic.
The 2026 Masters generated $545M on Kalshi — the largest pure-sports handle in the platform's history.
And it happened on a trading floor: solitary, anonymous, one market at a time. Most golfers don't bet because they love markets. They bet because their friends are in.
Golf already clears hundreds of millions on a generalist exchange — $460M in one outright at the 2026 Masters. What's missing is a product that speaks golf: deep books, live data, and clubhouses, follow, copy-trading and leaderboards.
The leading generalist exchange generated ~$1.3B in estimated annualized sports revenue (FT, Feb 2026). A golf-native layer on the books that already trade is the gap.
Sources: SBJ (King, Apr 17, 2026) · DeFi Rate (Apr 13, 2026) · FT (Feb 2026) · Covers (Apr 13, 2026) · Kalshi Help Center
Full story at investors.socialparlay.com/founder-story
That's the clubhouse. Anyone can create one for their own group, and every clubhouse gets all six rooms.
The social product is planned, not yet built; sequencing is on The Build. Feature roadmap is directional and subject to regulatory review by jurisdiction.
The clubhouse isn't only for tournament week. The games golfers actually play — at their own club, against people they know — get a slip, a leaderboard and a settlement, the same as a Masters market.
Same engine, same escrow, same instant settlement. The clubhouse goes wherever the golf is.
Club-event formats are directional and subject to regulatory review by jurisdiction.
We cover golf all the way down to Saturday's four-ball.
The inaugural clubhouse on the platform. Members-only, invite-only, capped membership. Members get early feature access and take part in live course activations.
Acquisition cost falls as the network grows. This is the CAC model.
Feature roadmap is directional and subject to regulatory review by jurisdiction.
Two years on the market underneath. The social product goes on top.
Full market lifecycle on Solana, live on devnet with the founding team and friends.
Core team collaborated at Fenix Global and Acuitas Trading Technologies.
Stacks on the existing pre-seed (friends, family, angels). $2.5M SAFE at $8.5M pre-money / $11.0M post-money — 22.7% as-converted, fully diluted.
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socialparlay.com · Vancouver, BC
Market · Regulatory · Golf deep dive · Traction · Product · How it works · Engine · Go-to-market
Projections · Financials · Competitive · P&L · Comparables · Exit strategy
Sports drive the majority of prediction market volume. Bernstein (Apr 2026) forecasts $51B of volume in 2025 and ~$1T by 2030, an ~80% CAGR.
Sources: AGA State of the States 2025 · Bernstein via CNBC / CoinDesk (Apr 2026) · Pew Research · SBJ
The incumbents fought and paid to open this category. We don't need to fight the frontier: we follow into opened markets, and we geo-fence by default until counsel says otherwise.
The 2026 Masters generated $545M on Kalshi — the largest pure-sports handle in the platform's history. $460M of that (84%) was the outright champion contract.
v1 shipped and was shut down in 2020. The exchange was rebuilt from 2024 and is live on devnet with the founding team and friends. This raise funds regulatory guidance and the 2027 H1 mainnet launch.
As of August 2026 · Devnet live, team and friends · SAFE round open
Trade YES/NO golf contracts against other fans. Live golf data in the ticket. Follow, copy-trade, and climb the leaderboard. Clubhouses for your crew: private groups alongside the Tour markets. Escrow and settlement on Solana. The house never takes the other side.
Buys fill against resting sell orders on a peer-to-peer book first, and anything left is minted by an on-chain bonding curve that moves the price with every order; sells post to the book once a market clears its liquidity threshold.
Social Parlay is a golf-only product and stays that way; it is where the technology is proven. Arcline is the engine underneath it: pricing, settlement, wallets, and audit. Each future vertical (F1, cricket) is its own fan experience built on Arcline under its own brand, never a rebadged Social Parlay. Operators can also license Arcline outright. Both are options we earn by proving golf first.
Golf is the only vertical in production. Each future vertical is a data integration, not a rebuild — and none ships before the golf books are deep.
This slide is the CAC slice of the raise — the 50% marketing allocation ($1.25M of $2.5M), broken out below. Marketing is the single largest line of the raise because the model's growth engine is user acquisition — and we start from an existing community, not from zero.
Channel allocation is directional — to be refined in year 1. Counsel stays a separate line on the Ask, kept out of CAC. Numbers per the Company model (Aug 2026; user path revised Sep 2026).
Activity peaks at the majors and drops when the Tour goes quiet. The test of the business is not the April spike, it is how many funded users are still trading in January. Each winter floor lands above the previous Masters peak.
2026–2032 model for the Arcline Engine, assuming successful execution of the roadmap and each funding raise. Cumulative capital raised 2026–2029: $87.5M.
| 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $0 | $125K | $2.75M | $30M | $60M | $122.5M | $202.5M |
| Mainnet users | 0 | 5K | 100K | 1M | 3M | 7M | 13.5M |
| Rev / user | — | $25 | $27.50 | $30 | $20 | $17.50 | $15 |
Kalshi already proved golf. We do not out-count them. We are golf-native: a few deep books, live golf data in the ticket, follow / copy-trade / leaderboards. “Depth” means 4–6 deep books — not 30 tickets.
| Polymarket | Kalshi | DraftKings | Social Parlay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Focus | Generalist | Generalist (US DCM) | Sportsbook | Golf-native |
| Golf books | Some majors | Broad (outright + finish + H2H + props) | Sportsbook menu | 4–6 deep types (outright, top-5/10, cut, H2H, 3-ball) |
| P2P / no house | Yes | Yes | No | Yes |
| Social | Weak | Weak | Media / promo | Follow, copy-trade, leaderboards |
| Private groups / clubhouses | — | — | — | Yes — private groups alongside Tour markets |
| Player / round data | Thin | Generic | Content | Multi-source, merged in ticket |
| UX | Generic exchange | Generic exchange | Sportsbook | Built for golf |
| Near-term calendar | Select events | Select PGA + majors | Most PGA | Majors + signatures first, then weekly Tour |
Revenue is mainnet users × blended RPU ($25 in 2027 → $15 in 2032) as white-label mix grows. User path revised Sep 2026 (100K in 2028, 1M in 2029); OpEx lines are from the Aug 2026 model and are being relocked to it. Counsel is its own line.
| 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | 2032 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mainnet users | 0 | 5K | 100K | 1M | 3M | 7M | 13.5M |
| Revenue | $0 | $125K | $2.75M | $30M | $60M | $122.5M | $202.5M |
| Engineering + audit | ($1.2M) | (~$1.4M) | (~$1.6M) | (~$2.5M) | (~$3.5M) | (~$4.0M) | (~$5.0M) |
| GTM / marketing | ($0.1M) | ($0.8M) | ($1.0M) | ($7.5M) | ($12M) | ($10M) | ($12M) |
| Legal / counsel | ($0.4M) | (~$0.6M) | (~$0.8M) | (~$1.5M) | (~$2.0M) | (~$2.5M) | (~$3.0M) |
| Infrastructure + data | ($12K) | (~$35K) | (~$40K) | (~$50K) | (~$75K) | (~$100K) | (~$150K) |
| G&A / other | ($0.2M) | (~$0.25M) | (~$0.4M) | (~$2.0M) | (~$2.5M) | (~$3.5M) | (~$6.0M) |
| Total operating expenses | ~$1.9M | ~$3.1M | ~$3.8M | ~$13.5M | ~$20M | ~$20M | ~$26M |
| Pre-tax operating result | ~($1.9M) | ~($3.0M) | ~($1.1M) | ~+$16.5M | ~+$40M | ~+$102.5M | ~+$176.5M |
Prediction markets are real and capitalized. Golf already prints exchange volume.
| Company | Sector | Metric | Value | Source / date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | Prediction Markets | Annualized sports revenue | $1.3B (Feb 2026) → ~$4B (2026) | FT via Yahoo · SBJ |
| Kalshi | Prediction Markets | Masters week volume (golf) | $545M (Apr 2026) | DeFi Rate · SBJ |
| Polymarket | Prediction Markets | Daily volume | $200–300M | Polymarket |
| DraftKings | Sportsbook (DKNG) | Sports revenue | $2.7B (2023) | DKNG 10-K |
| FanDuel | Sportsbook (Flutter, FLUT) | Sports revenue | $2.4B (2023) | Flutter 10-K |
| Golf (category) | Golf betting | Volume growth | +33% YoY (2026) | SBJ |
| BetMGM | Sportsbook | Sportsbook volume | $37B+ (2025) | SBJ |
Kalshi showed golf can clear hundreds of millions on a generalist exchange. We're not the same stack with more tickets, we're golf-native (data, UX, 4–6 deep books, follow / copy-trade).
The model reaches a $202.5M revenue run-rate by 2032— golf vertical plus white-label engine — at which point the company is an acquisition target. A seed outcome can still be a strategic tuck-in: the golf wedge, engine, and audience.